BEGIN:VCALENDAR
VERSION:2.0
PRODID:-//PYVOBJECT//NONSGML Version 1//EN
BEGIN:VTIMEZONE
TZID:Asia/Shanghai
BEGIN:STANDARD
DTSTART:20000101T000000
RRULE:FREQ=YEARLY;BYMONTH=1
TZNAME:CST
TZOFFSETFROM:+0800
TZOFFSETTO:+0800
END:STANDARD
END:VTIMEZONE
BEGIN:VEVENT
UID:20261113T005624Z - 65875@iZuf69e0i0z4ibdboqb33jZ
DTSTART;TZID=Asia/Shanghai:20261119T190000
DTEND;TZID=Asia/Shanghai:20261119T210000
CREATED:20261113T005624Z
DESCRIPTION:<a href="http://popcornclubshanghai.com/event/adam-s-list-of-th
 e-worst-predictions-overreactions-in-history-46118/register">Adam's List O
 f The Worst Predictions & Overreactions In History</a>\nWhat would you hav
 e predicted about life in the year 2000 if you’d been living in 1900? Wh
 ich invention would you have called a passing fad? And which of today’s 
 fears might make people laugh a hundred years from now? Join Adam\, a poli
 tics and history expert\, for a lively look at some of history’s worst p
 redictions and biggest overreactions. From fears that electricity would ki
 ll us all to the panic over the Y2K computer bug and the confident claims 
 that Donald Trump couldn’t win in 2016\, we’ll revisit what people tho
 ught would happen and why it seemed so convincing at the time. Some of the
 se predictions are hilarious in hindsight. Others raise a trickier questio
 n: if a disaster never happens\, was the warning wrong\, or did people tak
 e it seriously enough to prevent it? We’ll compare the evidence people h
 ad with the assumptions they made\, then turn the same questions on today
 ’s predictions about AI and an increasingly digital world. Which fears d
 eserve our attention? Which promises sound a little too certain? No histor
 y\, politics or tech background is needed. Come ready to laugh at a few sp
 ectacular misses and leave a little more comfortable with the fact that no
 body has the future figured out. 如果你活在1900年，你会怎么预
 测2000年的生活？哪项发明你会说只是一阵风？今天我们
 的哪些恐惧，可能会让一百年后的人笑出来？跟着 Adam 
 来轻松看看历史上一些最烂的预测和最大的过度反应吧
 。他是政治和历史专家。从害怕电会把我们全弄死，到
 千年虫引发的恐慌，再到那些很有把握地说 Donald Trump 201
 6年不可能赢的断言，我们会回头看看当时人们以为会发
 生什么，以及为什么那会儿听起来那么有说服力。 有些
 预测事后看特别好笑。另一些则引出一个更难的问题：
 如果一场灾难一直没发生，是那个警告错了，还是人们
 当时足够当回事，才把它防住了？我们会比较人们当时
 手里的证据和他们做出的假设，然后把同样的问题丢给
 今天关于 AI 和越来越数字化的世界的那些预测。哪些恐
 惧值得我们注意？哪些承诺听起来有点太确定了？不需
 要任何历史、政治或科技背景。准备好来为几个离谱的
 翻车笑一笑，走的时候也能更坦然地接受一件事：没有
 人真的把未来搞明白了。
DTSTAMP:20261113T005624Z
LOCATION:静安区\, 大田路129弄1-1号嘉发大厦A栋\, Shanghai
SUMMARY:Adam's List Of The Worst Predictions & Overreactions In History
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR